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Value a Business The
bottom line is, of course, that a business is worth what a buyer will pay
for it at a point in time. However, there are ways of estimating a fair
price. Several of those methods are described in this section. There are
variations of these and there are other methods that apply to specific
situations. It is not uncommon to value a business by a number of
different methods and use an average (or more likely a weighted average
that gives more weight to some methods than to others) of the various
methods used.
Table of Contents: Valuation Methods 1. Basic Method (Quick Estimate) 2. Rule of Thumb Methods 3. Capitalized Earning Approach 4. Excess Earning Method 5. Cash Flow Method 6. Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Method 7. Costs to Create Approach (Leapfrog Start Up) 8. Value of Specific Intangible Assets 9. Summary/ Conclusion Note:that there are a number of reasons for valuing a business,
other than buying or selling it. Businesses are valued for estate and tax
purposes, divorce settlements, and for raising capital. In keeping with
the purpose of this web site, all valuation discussion here will be
limited to valuing for buying and selling. Basic Method The
Basic or quick estimate is often used as a guide to the valuation of a
small business. It is only a useful starting point as few buyers will pay
1 year’s earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest, tax and
depreciation (EBPITD). The type of business that will obtain this type of
value in a sale will have a very real goodwill factor and are
predominately businesses, which have good long-term contracts that are
transferable to the new owner, or the business is a strong nationwide
franchise where the demand is high for this product. Basic Method:
Price of Business = (Plant & equipment + 1 year’s EBPITD.) plus
Stock at Valuation (Cost).
For Example: Business “Ice Cream’s” which handles a national product and
has a exclusive distributorship, produces
$86,500 Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s drawings,
interest, tax and depreciation (EBPITD). The plant and equipment is valued
at $120,000. The stock on hand cost $45,000. The distributorship is
transferable. Price
of Business = $86,500 + $120,000 = $206,500 plus S.A.V $45,000 = total
price $251,500 Rule of Thumb Methods One
of the most common approaches to small business valuation is the use of
industry rules of thumb. While most financial analysts cringe at the use
of these approaches, they do have their place, to be as adjuncts to other
methods. A
Lawn Mowing Business is worth X’s dollars to Y’s dollars per regular
customer plus equipment at fair market value. Another says that small news agencies are worth 100% of one year's gross income. The
problem with these and all rule of thumb formulas is that they are
statistically derived from the sale of many businesses of their type. That
is, an organization might compile statistics on perhaps 100 small news agencies that were sold over a two-year period. They will then average
all the selling prices and calculate that the average news agency sold for
100% of one year's gross income. The rule of thumb is thus created.
However, some news agencies may have sold for twice one year's gross while
other may have sold for half of one year's gross. The
rule of thumb averages may be accurate for those businesses whose
performances are on par with the average. The business with expenses and
profits that are right on target with industry averages may well sell for
a price in line with the rule of thumb formula. Others will vary. To apply
the rule of thumb to a business that varies significantly from the average
is not appropriate. Nevertheless,
industry averages are a good quick and dirty starting point for valuation.
Check with your industry associations) for rule of thumb formulas for
selling or buying a business. Before taking the formula too seriously,
though, check to see how closely your firm's financial performance stacks
up to the industry averages. Sources to examine industry averages may also
be available from your trade association's), business broker and
accountant. Capitalized Earning Approach A
common method of valuing a business is called the Capitalization of
Earnings (or Capitalized Earnings) method. Capitalization refers to the
return on investment that is expected by an investor. There are many
variations in how this method is applied. However, the basic logic is the
same. To
demonstrate the capitalization method of valuation, let's look at a
mythical and highly oversimplified business. Pretend the business is
simply an amusement machine to which people put money. The magic amusement
machine with a value of $120,000 has been collecting money at the rate of
about $86,600 per year steadily for ten years with very little variation.
It is likely to continue to collect money at this rate indefinitely. The
only expense for this business is $100 per year rent charged by the
landlord were it is located. So the business earns $86,500 per year
($86,600-$100). Because the amusement machine will continue to collect
money indefinitely at the same rate and it’s magical, it retains its
full value. The buyer should be able to sell it at any time and get his
initial investment back. A
buyer would look at this "minimum risk" business earning $86,500
and compare it to other ways of investing his or her money to earn $86,500
per year. A near no risk investment like a savings account or Bank bill
might pay about 4% to 8% a year. At the 8% rate, for someone to earn the
same $86,500 per year that the magic amusement machine earns, an
investment of $1,081,250 ($1,081,250*8%= $86,500) would be required.
Therefore, the amusement machine business value is in the area of
$1,081,250. It is an equivalent investment in terms of risk and return to
the savings account or bank bill except in the real business world you are
taking a risk and you do need to receive or pay a wage to operate the
business. Now
the real world of business has no magic amusement machine and no "no
risk" situations. Business owners take risks and have expenses, and
business equipment can break down and usually does depreciate in value.
The higher the perceived risk, the higher the capitalization rate
(percentage) that the buyer will use to estimate value. With the exception
of accommodation business like caravan parks and motel
capitalization rates of 15% to 25% are common for medium to large
businesses while capitalization rates of 20% to 50% are common for a small
business calculations. That is, buyers will look for a return on their
investment of 10% to 50% (depending on risk) in buying a business after a
suitable wage is deducted from the EBPITD. At
the 20% (low risk) rate, for someone to earn the same $86,500 per year
that the magic amusement machine earns, an investment of $432,500
($432,500*20%= $86,500) would be required. Therefore, the amusement
machine business value is in the area of $432,500. Finally,
it is important to point out that the above example does not include a
fair salary for the new business owner. If the owner must devote time
working to realize a profit, he or she must, in theory, be paid a fair
value for that work. The owner's fair and reasonable salary must be
separated from the return on investment computations. For example, if the
magic amusement machine produced $86,500 per year but required a manager
with a fair market salary of $30,000, the income for valuation purposes is
$56,500, not $86,500. The fair market value for salary is the important
number to use, not the actual salary to the current owner. If
a wage of $30,000 (fair salary not the owners drawings) is deducted to run
this business we are left with: Capitalization Method: $86,500
Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest,
tax and $30,000
Wage
depreciation (EBPITD)).<
$56,500
divided by 20% = $282,500 being the business value. Excess Earning Method
This
method is similar to the capitalization method described above. The
difference is that it splits off return on assets from other earning (the
excess earnings). For example, let's suppose Mr. Owner runs a business
that has amusement
machines. His
company has Tangible Assets (Plant & Equipment etc.) of $120,000.
Further let's suppose that Mr. Owner pays himself a very reasonable market
value salary-- the same amount that he would have to pay a competent
manager to do his job say $30,000 per annum. After paying the salary of
$30,000 from his $86,500 net (EBPITD) Mr. Owner's business has earnings of
$56,500 net.
The
financially rational reason for owning business assets is to produce a
financial return. Let's say that a reasonable return on Mr. Owner's
Tangible Assets is 15% per year. A reasonable number here should be based
on industry averages for return on assets adjusted to current economic
conditions. For example, Mr. Owner or his advisors may have looked up
industry standards for
amusement machine
shops and found that the current average return on assets was 14%. (An
alternative approach to finding an industry appropriate return on asset
figure is to use a rate 3 to 4 points above the current bank rate for a
small business loan, or about 6 points above the current prime rate).
So
$18,000 of Mr. Owner's profits are derived from the tangible assets of the
business ($120,000 x 15%= $18,000) The other $38,500
($56,500-$18,000=$38,500) in earnings are the excess earnings). This
$38,500 excess earning number is typically multiplied by a factor of 2 to
5, based on such factors as the level of risk involved in the business,
the attractiveness of the business and the industry, competitiveness, and
growth potential. The higher the factor used, the higher the estimate of
the business will be. A typical number is 3. That is, a business that is
judged to be very average in terms of the level of risk involved, the
attractiveness of the business, the industry, competitiveness, and growth
potential would use three as a multiplier. The actual factor used is a mix
of opinion, comparison to others in the industry, and industry outlook. Let's
suppose that Mr. Owner's business is better than average in these
factors and assign a multiplier of 4. Therefore, the value of this
business can be determined as follows: A.
Fair market value of tangible equipment (plant & equipment) B.
Total Earnings C.
Earnings attributed to Tangible Assets ($120,000*15%) D.
Excess Earnings ( B - C) ($56,500-$18,000=$38,500) E.
Value of excess earnings (D X multiplier) ($38,500 x 4) F.
Estimated Total Value (Tangible
Assets plus value of excess earnings) Cash Flow Method Buyers
often look at a business and evaluate it by determining how much of a loan
the net profit will support. That is, they will look at the net profit
(Earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest, tax and
depreciation (EBPITD)) and subtract
from this net profit an estimated annual amount for equipment replacement.
They will also adjust the net profit by subtracting a fair salary or at
least an acceptable salary for the new owner. The
adjusted net profit number is used as a benchmark to measure the firm's
ability to service debt. If the adjusted cash flow is, for example,
$100,000 and prevailing interest rates are 10%, and the buyer wants to
amortize the loan over 5 years, the maximum a buyer is willing to pay for
the firm would be about $253,000. This is the loan payment that $100,000
would support over 5 years.
Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Method In
some instances, a business is worth no more than the value of its tangible
assets. This would be the case for some (not all) businesses that are
losing money or paying the owner's) less than fair market compensation.
Selling such a business is often a matter of getting the best possible
price for the equipment, inventory, and other assets of the business. It
is generally best to approach other firms in the same business that would
have direct use for such assets. Also, a company in the same business
might be interested in taking over your facility. This would mean your
leasehold improvements (modifications to space, etc.) would have value and
the equipment would have value as "in place" plant and
equipment. In place value is higher than the value on a piece-by-piece
basis such as at a sale by auction. Cost To Create Approach (Leapfrog Start Up) Sometimes
companies or individuals will purchase a company just to avoid the
difficulties of starting from scratch. The buyer will calculate his or her
start up needs in terms of dollars and time. Next he or she will look at
your business and analyze what it has and what it may be missing relative
to the buyer's start up plan. The buyer will calculate value based on his
or her projected costs to organize personnel, obtain leases, obtain fixed
assets, and cost to develop intangibles such as licenses, copyrights,
contracts, etc.) Value of Specific Intangible Assets This
is an often-overlooked approach to valuation. Yet in some cases it is the
only appropriate approach that will result in a sale. The approach is
based upon the buyer's buying a wanted intangible asset versus creating
it. Many times buying can be a cost efficient and time saving alternative.
For
example, a temporary employment agency. Suppose the agency specialized in
placing trade’s people in
coal mines and other industries. By approaching firms in the same or
related businesses, it is calculated
that recruiting a qualified worker cost at least $200 for an agency. A common
application of this method is the acquisition of a customer base.
Customers with a high likelihood of being retained are valuable in most
industries. Examples of industries where companies are bought and sold
based upon the value of the customer base include insurance agencies,
real-estate agencies (property management), advertising agencies, payroll
services, and bookkeeping services. In
practice the buyer will often ask for a credit for each customer that is
not retained for a stated period of time. For example, a firm may offer
$100 per customer, with a pro-rated credit for each customer that leaves
during the twelve months following the closing of the sale. Pro-rating is
based upon when the customer leaves-- if the customer leaves after 6
months, for example, half of the $100 would be returned to the seller. Conclusion There
is no sure fire way to value a business for buying and selling purposes.
The true value is the perceived value to a buyer who is ready, willing,
and able to buy it. However, there are a number of approaches to estimate
value; some of those are discussed above.
Equals $120,000
Equals $56,500
Equals $18,000
Equals $38,500
Equals $154,000
Equals $120,000 + $154,000 = $274,000 Being the Business Value
The value to a buyer is the value of buying a qualified worker versus
recruiting a worker through the more traditional method of advertising,
interviewing, etc. This list of trade’s people is valuable and should
sell for a price close to the $200 per worker.