Value a business at Buy Sell A Business bsab.com.au
Value a Business
Business valuation is a mix of art and science. The bottom line is,
of course, that a business is worth what a buyer will pay for it at
a point in time. However, there are ways of estimating a fair price.
Several of those methods are described in this section. There are variations
of these and there are other methods that apply to specific situations.
It is not uncommon to value a business by a number of different methods
and use an average (or more likely a weighted average that gives more
weight to some methods than to others) of the various methods used.
Table of Contents: Valuation Methods
1. Basic Method (Quick Estimate)
2. Rule of Thumb Methods
3. Capitalized Earning Approach
4. Excess Earning Method
5. Cash Flow Method
6. Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Method
7. Costs to Create Approach (Leapfrog Start Up)
8. Value of Specific Intangible Assets
9. Summary/ Conclusion
Note that there are a number of reasons for valuing a business, other
than buying or selling it. Businesses are valued for estate and tax
purposes, divorce settlements, and for raising capital. In keeping with
the purpose of this web site, all valuation discussion here will be
limited to valuing for buying and selling.
Basic Method
The Basic or quick estimate is often used as a guide to the valuation
of a small business. It is only a useful starting point as few buyers
will pay 1 year’s earnings before proprietor’s drawings,
interest, tax and depreciation (EBPITD). The type of business that will
obtain this type of value in a sale will have a very real goodwill factor
and are predominately businesses, which have good long-term contracts
that are transferable to the new owner, or the business is a strong
nationwide franchise where the demand is high for this product.
Basic Method:
Price of Business = (Plant & equipment + 1 year’s EBPITD.)
plus Stock at Valuation (Cost).
For Example: Business “Ice Cream’s” which handles
a national product and has a exclusive distributorship, produces $86,500
Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest, tax
and depreciation (EBPITD). The plant and equipment is valued at $120,000.
The stock on hand cost $45,000. The distributorship is transferable.
Price of Business = $86,500 + $120,000 = $206,500 plus S.A.V $45,000
= total price $251,500
Rule of Thumb Methods
One of the most common approaches to small business valuation is the
use of industry rules of thumb. While most financial analysts cringe
at the use of these approaches, they do have their place, to be as adjuncts
to other methods.
A Lawn Mowing Business is worth X’s dollars to
Y’s dollars per regular customer plus equipment at fair market
value. Another says that small news agencies are worth 100% of one year's
gross income.
The problem with these and all rule of thumb formulas
is that they are statistically derived from the sale of many businesses
of their type. That is, an organization might compile statistics on
perhaps 100 small news agencies that were sold over a two-year period.
They will then average all the selling prices and calculate that the
average news agency sold for 100% of one year's gross income. The rule
of thumb is thus created. However, some news agencies may have sold
for twice one year's gross while other may have sold for half of one
year's gross.
The rule of thumb averages may be accurate for those
businesses whose performances are on par with the average. The business
with expenses and profits that are right on target with industry averages
may well sell for a price in line with the rule of thumb formula. Others
will vary. To apply the rule of thumb to a business that varies significantly
from the average is not appropriate.
Nevertheless, industry averages are a good quick and
dirty starting point for valuation. Check with your industry associations)
for rule of thumb formulas for selling or buying a business. Before
taking the formula too seriously, though, check to see how closely your
firm's financial performance stacks up to the industry averages. Sources
to examine industry averages may also be available from your trade association's,
business broker and accountant.
Capitalized Earning Approach
A common method of valuing a business is called the
Capitalization of Earnings (or Capitalized Earnings) method. Capitalization
refers to the return on investment that is expected by an investor.
There are many variations in how this method is applied. However, the
basic logic is the same.
To demonstrate the capitalization method of valuation,
let's look at a mythical and highly oversimplified business. Pretend
the business is simply an amusement machine in to which people put money.
The magic amusement machine with a value of $120,000 has been collecting
money at the rate of about $86,600 per year steadily for ten years with
very little variation. It is likely to continue to collect money at
this rate indefinitely. The only expense for this business is $100 per
year rent charged by the landlord were it is located. So the business
earns $86,500 per year ($86,600-$100). Because the amusement machine
will continue to collect money indefinitely at the same rate and it’s
magical, it retains its full value. The buyer should be able to sell
it at any time and get his initial investment back.
A buyer would look at this "minimum risk"
business earning $86,500 and compare it to other ways of investing his
or her money to earn $86,500 per year. A near no risk investment like
a savings account or Bank bill might pay about 4% to 8% a year. At the
8% rate, for someone to earn the same $86,500 per year that the magic
amusement machine earns, an investment of $1,081,250 ($1,081,250*8%=
$86,500) would be required. Therefore, the amusement machine business
value is in the area of $1,081,250. It is an equivalent investment in
terms of risk and return to the savings account or bank bill except
in the real business world you are taking a risk and you do need to
receive or pay a wage to operate the business.
Now the real world of business has no magic amusement
machine and no "no risk" situations. Business owners take
risks and have expenses, and business equipment can break down and usually
does depreciate in value. The higher the perceived risk, the higher
the capitalization rate (percentage) that the buyer will use to estimate
value. With the exception of accommodation business like caravan parks
and motel capitalization rates of 15% to 25% are common for medium to
large businesses while capitalization rates of 20% to 50% are common
for a small business calculations. That is, buyers will look for a return
on their investment of 10% to 50% (depending on risk) in buying a business
after a suitable wage is deducted from the EBPITD.
At the 20% (low risk) rate, for someone to earn the
same $86,500 per year that the magic amusement machine earns, an investment
of $432,500 ($432,500*20%= $86,500) would be required. Therefore, the
amusement machine business value is in the area of $432,500.
Finally, it is important to point out that the above
example does not include a fair salary for the new business owner. If
the owner must devote time working to realize a profit, he or she must,
in theory, be paid a fair value for that work. The owner's fair and
reasonable salary must be separated from the return on investment computations.
For example, if the magic amusement machine produced $86,500 per year
but required a manager with a fair market salary of $30,000, the income
for valuation purposes is $56,500, not $86,500. The fair market value
for salary is the important number to use, not the actual salary to
the current owner. If a wage of $30,000 (fair salary not the owners
drawings) is deducted to run this business we are left with:
Capitalization Method:
$86,500 Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s
drawings, interest, tax and $30,000 Wage depreciation (EBPITD)).
$56,500 divided by 20% = $282,500 being the business
value.
Excess Earning Method
This method is similar to the capitalization method
described above. The difference is that it splits off return on assets
from other earning (the excess earnings). For example, let's suppose
Mr. Owner runs a business that has amusement machines. His company has
Tangible Assets (Plant & Equipment etc.) of $120,000. Further let's
suppose that Mr. Owner pays himself a very reasonable market value salary--
the same amount that he would have to pay a competent manager to do
his job say $30,000 per annum. After paying the salary of $30,000 from
his $86,500 net (EBPITD) Mr. Owner's business has earnings of $56,500
net.
The financially rational reason for owning business
assets is to produce a financial return. Let's say that a reasonable
return on Mr. Owner's Tangible Assets is 15% per year. A reasonable
number here should be based on industry averages for return on assets
adjusted to current economic conditions. For example, Mr. Owner or his
advisors may have looked up industry standards for amusement machine
shops and found that the current average return on assets was 14%. (An
alternative approach to finding an industry appropriate return on asset
figure is to use a rate 3 to 4 points above the current bank rate for
a small business loan, or about 6 points above the current prime rate).
So $18,000 of Mr. Owner's profits are derived from the
tangible assets of the business ($120,000 x 15%= $18,000) The other
$38,500 ($56,500-$18,000=$38,500) in earnings are the excess earnings).
This $38,500 excess earning number is typically multiplied
by a factor of 2 to 5, based on such factors as the level of risk involved
in the business, the attractiveness of the business and the industry,
competitiveness, and growth potential. The higher the factor used, the
higher the estimate of the business will be. A typical number is 3.
That is, a business that is judged to be very average in terms of the
level of risk involved, the attractiveness of the business, the industry,
competitiveness, and growth potential would use three as a multiplier.
The actual factor used is a mix of opinion, comparison to others in
the industry, and industry outlook.
Let's suppose that Mr. Owner's business is better than
average in these factors and assign a multiplier of 4. Therefore, the
value of this business can be determined as follows:
A. Fair market value of tangible equipment (plant &
equipment)
Equals $120,000
B. Total Earnings
Equals $56,500
C. Earnings attributed to Tangible Assets ($120,000*15%)
Equals $18,000
D. Excess Earnings ( B - C) ($56,500-$18,000=$38,500)
Equals $38,500
E. Value of excess earnings (D x multiplier) ($38,500
x 4)
Equals $154,000
F. Estimated Total Value (Tangible Assets plus value
of excess earnings)
Equals $120,000 + $154,000 = $274,000 Being the Business Value
Cash Flow Method
Buyers often look at a business and evaluate it by determining
how much of a loan the net profit will support. That is, they will look
at the net profit (Earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest,
tax and depreciation (EBPITD)) and subtract from this net profit an
estimated annual amount for equipment replacement. They will also adjust
the net profit by subtracting a fair salary or at least an acceptable
salary for the new owner.
The adjusted net profit number is used as a benchmark
to measure the firm's ability to service debt. If the adjusted cash
flow is, for example, $100,000 and prevailing interest rates are 10%,
and the buyer wants to amortize the loan over 5 years, the maximum a
buyer is willing to pay for the firm would be about $253,000. This is
the loan payment that $100,000 would support over 5 years.
Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Method
In some instances, a business is worth no more than the value of its
tangible assets. This would be the case for some (not all) businesses
that are losing money or paying the owner's less than fair market compensation.
Selling such a business is often a matter of getting the best possible
price for the equipment, inventory, and other assets of the business.
It is generally best to approach other firms in the same business that
would have direct use for such assets. Also, a company in the same business
might be interested in taking over your facility. This would mean your
leasehold improvements (modifications to space, etc.) would have value
and the equipment would have value as "in place" plant and
equipment. In place value is higher than the value on a piece-by-piece
basis such as at a sale by auction.
Cost To Create Approach (Leapfrog Start Up)
Sometimes companies or individuals will purchase a company
just to avoid the difficulties of starting from scratch. The buyer will
calculate his or her start up needs in terms of dollars and time. Next
he or she will look at your business and analyze what it has and what
it may be missing relative to the buyer's start up plan. The buyer will
calculate value based on his or her projected costs to organize personnel,
obtain leases, obtain fixed assets, and the cost to develop intangibles
such as licenses, copyrights, contracts, etc.)
Value of Specific Intangible Assets
This is an often-overlooked approach to valuation. Yet in some cases
it is the only appropriate approach that will result in a sale. The
approach is based upon the buyer's buying a wanted intangible asset
versus creating it. Many times buying can be a cost efficient and time
saving alternative.
For example, a temporary employment agency:- Suppose
the agency specialized in placing trade’s people in coal mines
and other industries. By approaching firms in the same or related businesses,
it is calculated that recruiting a qualified worker cost at least $200
for an agency.
The value to a buyer is the value of buying a qualified worker versus
recruiting a worker through the more traditional method of advertising,
interviewing, etc. This list of trade’s people is valuable and
should sell for a price close to the $200 per worker.
A common application of this method is the acquisition
of a customer base. Customers with a high likelihood of being retained
are valuable in most industries. Examples of industries where companies
are bought and sold based upon the value of the customer base include
insurance agencies, real-estate agencies (property management), advertising
agencies, payroll services, and bookkeeping services.
In practice the buyer will often ask for a credit for
each customer that is not retained for a stated period of time. For
example, a firm may offer $100 per customer, with a pro-rated credit
for each customer that leaves during the twelve months following the
closing of the sale. Pro-rating is based upon when the customer leaves--
if the customer leaves after 6 months, for example, half of the $100
would be returned to the seller.
Conclusion
There is no sure fire way to value a business for buying and selling
purposes. The true value is the perceived value to a buyer who is ready,
willing, and able to buy it. However, there are a number of approaches
to estimate value; some of those are discussed above. It is not unusual
for a buyer to ask for the logic behind an asking price. Having a good
answer to that question will enhance your chances of selling your business
for the desired price.
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